Tag: lok sabha seats

Opinion Polls

Elections in Bihar are going on and Election Commission (EC) wants ban on opinion polls. It has written a letter to Law Ministry to bring out and ordinance banning opinion polls. EC thinks it can dictate terms to Law Ministry. It is for Law Ministry to decide whether it is subservient to EC.

There was no need for 7-phase polling in Bihar. It could have been on a single day. EC’s excuse was that it was done before. If EC can not hold polling for 243 Legislative Assembly seats on a single day it is good for nothing.
Voters are not swayed by opinion polls. Results of opinion polls differ from agency to agency. Many times they are proved wrong. There is ban on exit polls but they make it to TV channels as projections. At one time MARG used to give figures that used to be correct as a whole. Since some years nothing is heard of MARG. In 2004 all channels predicted NDA to get more Lok Sabha seats than UPA, 230 being the minimum number. NDA got 196 seats. UPA came to power.

It is not possible to enforce censorship on election matters as technology makes dissemination of information possible in many ways.

If any ordinance banning opinion polls is issued it can be challenged in courts.

The three wise men of EC should not underestimate the wisdom of Indian voters.

Baba Ramdev and BJP

Baba Ramdev’s decision to found a political party and contest 543 Lok Sabha seats in 2014 has the BJP worried. BJP President Nitin Gadkari has appealed to Baba Ramdev not to go ahead with the project. BJP is worried that Hindu votes will be split.
BJP and Baba Ramdev have some things in common. Both want Hindu Rashtra. Both talk of getting back black money in foreign banks.
Baba Ramdev knows the political parties in India. He has seen BJP’s rise and fall. He does not expect much from BJP.
BJP has alliance with various parties. It has no plan to contest 543 Lok Sabha seats in 2014.
Baba Ramdev wants death penalty for corruption, rape, dowry death, cow slaughter and terrorism. Many in India will oppose death penalty for cow slaughter. BJP would not like to have death penalty for corruption.
Baba Ramdev has said he had been preparing for the party for 20 years. He is unlikely to heed to BJP appeal or enter into a coalition with BJP.
Baba Ramdev’s estimate of black money is Rs.258 lakh crores. It is not known how this figure was arrived at. When this money comes to India what will be the exchange rate of rupee? Will the value of rupee vis-a-vis other currencies go up? If one rupee becomes equal to one dollar or euro or pound it is fine. This is presuming that Rs.258 lakh crores is Indian money illegally kept in foreign banks and the depositors will let it be there till India gets it back.
Baba Ramdev wants swadeshi. He wants to change educational, health, legal, economic, political, agricultural and administrative systems. In BJP some were in favour of swadeshi and they were not successful.
RSS has not said anything about Baba Ramdev’s political agenda. It controls BJP. It is unlikely to support Baba Ramdev.
Both BPJ and Baba Ramdev should realise that there are many in India who do not want Hindu Rashtra or Rama Rajya. For them Rama Rajya means oppression of Dalits and women. Non-Hindus can not expected to vote for a party that wants Hindu Rashtra.
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Vote counting on 16/5/2009

It was supposed to begin at 8.00 a.m. and over by 10.00 a.m. However even till midnight many results had not been declared. What caused the delay? If the counting for all Lok Sabha seats did not begin at 8.00 a.m. why it did not begin? If it began at 8.00 a.m. why did it take so long to declare results?

P. Chidamambaram and Maneka Gandhi were first declared losers and after recount declared winners. How did that happen with EVMs? The figure should have been the same. If the candidate first declared winner and after recount declared loser wants another recount what happens?

Election Commission owes an explanation to the nation.

Predictions of exit polls went wrong. In 1984 and 1989 MARG had made correct predictions. Now nothing is heard of MARG. Various agencies make predictions. Relying on exit polls has proved a risky proposition for political parties