Voice from the Rooftop

Blog of Vincent Augustine D'Souza

End of AAP dream

It is the end of AAP dream. AAP began with great expectations. It talked about ending corruption. There was hope. During first AAP government there was talk of policemen not taking bribes. That government ended in 49 days. AAP returned to power with majority. AAP won 67 out of 70 seats in Delhi. However all was not well. There were questions about some MLAs.
Expulsion of Prashant Bhushan and Yogendra Yadav showed Arvind Kejriwal as autocratic. Many leaders left the party.
AAP became one man party. It became property of Arvind Kejriwal. Grass roots democracy did not last long. Primaries to elect candidates to fight elections disappeared. It was high command culture.
Jitendra Singh Tomar case damaged AAP. He was made a minister. AAP defended him against accusations of forged certificates. AAP was proved wrong. AAP’s reputation was damaged.
There was allegation that in Punjab, women who wanted to contest as AAP candidates were asked to have sex. On India Today, Yogendra Yadav told Rajdeep Sardesai he can find out by talking to people there.
Arvind Kejriwal and some AAP leaders blamed EVMs for their defeats. Some AAP leaders did not agree with that. They said AAP did not communicate well the good work it has done, losing touch with people, and wrong ticket distribution. Those who were members for a long time did not get tickets. Those who newly joined from other parties got tickets. That disappointed AAP volunteers and they stopped working for the party.
Kumar Vishwas made statements against AAP leadership. Arvind Kejriwal and Manish Sisodia met and pacified him. He was made Rajasthan in-charge.
On 6/5/2017 Arvind Kejriwal removed Kapil Mishra as Water Resources and Tourism Minister. On 7/5/2017 Kapil Mishra accused Arvind Kejriwal of taking 2 crore rupees of bribe money from Satyendra Jain. That was the last straw that broke camel’s back or the last nail on the coffin.
AAP had limited success outside Delhi. In Punjab it won four Lok Sabha seats in 2014 and 20 Legislative Assembly seats in 2017.
Any attempt by anyone who claims to have corruption-free politics will be met with cynicism. One may be a good person before joining politics. After joining politics there is no guarantee that person will remain good.

UK Elections 2017

A bird in hand is worth two in bush.
A week is a long time in politics.
Never count your chickens before they are hatched.
The best laid plans of men and mice go awry.
Theresa May’s announcement on 18 April 2017 of her decision to call election to House of Commons on 8 June 2017 was a surprise as the House was elected on 7 May 2015 and had three years left. Just a few days before she had said she will not call for early elections. More surprising was the fact that 522 members of House of Commons on 19 April 2017 voted for early election.
Opinion polls had given 20-point lead to Theresa May. She relied on them and hoped she could return with a bigger majority. Jeremy Corbyn, leader of Labour Party, could have opposed early election. He too went along. Scottish National Party abstained from voting.
Opinion polls are unreliable. They were wrong about UK Elections 2015, Brexit referendum, and USA Presidential Election 2016. It is reckless to go for early elections. Arvind Kejriwal did that in 2014 after 49 days in office. He hoped Delhi Legislative Assembly elections will be held together with Lok Sabha 2014 elections. That did not happen. Mahindra Rajapaksa did that at the end of 2014 and lost the election in the beginning of January 2015. He had more than two years left. There is no guarantee that Theresa May will return as PM, leave alone with a higher majority. It is wrong to consider Theresa May as clever, rational and shrewd. It is said David Cameron calling for Brexit referendum was ultimate gamble of ultimate gambler.
Theresa May blamed opposition parties in House of Commons and House of Lords for jeopardising Brexit negotiations. House of Lords can only delay a bill. House of Commons can reject changes proposed by House of Lords. Conservative Party with its majority in House of Commons could have carried out Brexit negotiations.
Scotland and Northern Ireland opposed Brexit. SNP wants Scotland out of UK. Theresa May had not granted referendum on Scottish Independence. In 2015 SNP won 56 seats out of 59 in Scotland. If SNP repeats its performance demand for referendum will be hard to reject.
Some EU officials hope after elections UK will reverse its stand on Brexit.
On 9 June 2015 we will know how many of 522 MPs who voted for early election have returned to House of Commons.

New India

After BJP’s victory in UP and Uttarakhand and cobbled coalition governments in Goa and Manipur, Narendra Modi has talked of New India. We have some indication what is this New India.
It will be a vegetarian India. There will be a ban on meat, fish, eggs, crabs, lobsters, oysters, shellfish, and so on. When Jains fast or feast there will be a ban on onions, garlic, potatoes, tomatoes, carrots, ginger, other root vegetables, and honey.
Yoga will be compulsory.
Sanskrit will be compulsory.
There will be name changes. Names like Allahabad, Aurangabad, Ghaziabad, Faridabad, Murshidabad, Sahibabad, Tughlakabad, Babur Road, Humayun Road, Akbar Road, will be replaced with names pleasing to RSS. Names of airports and institutes with members of Nehru-Gandhi family will be changed to that of BJP and RSS leaders.
Text books will mention glory of ancient India. Everything was discovered or invented by Indians.
There will be a ban on disco, foxtrot, jive, twist, or any western dance.
There will be a ban on jazz, pop, rock, or any western music.
There will be a ban on accordion, bagpipe, clarinet, cornet, guitar, mandolin, piano, saxophone, trombone, violin, xylophone, and other western musical instruments.
There will be a ban on Valentine’s Day celebration. Prem Din may be celebrated.
Cow will replace tiger as national animal. It will be death penalty or life imprisonment for killing a cow.
Hindi film award programmes will have to be in Hindi.
CBFC will not certify films with kissing and nude scenes.
Polygyny and polygamy will be allowed. A man can have many wives. A woman can have many husbands. A married woman should have at least three children, seventeen will be better.
Manusmriti will replace Constitution. Women will lose many rights. A woman will have to be under her father or husband or son. Marriage outside one’s social class will be forbidden. B. R. Ambedkar had burnt a copy of Manusmriti on 25/12/1927 at Mahad. He had held it responsible for caste system and Dalit oppression in India.

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